Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

40.34 – 272.9

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 416

Prediction correct · off by 78.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.5 ±11.7

10997St. George

Season APEX 28.9Event APEX -18.26Rank 33Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 18.36Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 40.24Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 579.6 ±10.7

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 160.98Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 96.46Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6226Blue Devils

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 15.46Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10997, 6808, 10157

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.3 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10997, 6808, 10157

Auto

20.2 53%

Teleop

27.8 72%

Endgame

-9.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 341, 272, 6226

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 341, 272, 6226

Auto

65.5 25%

Teleop

140.7 54%

Endgame

56.2 21%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.43 · Blue 2.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score40.3pts

Blue projected score272.9pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -232.6
Score range: 19–294
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 471 vs event baseline 116.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.5Season APEX579.6

20.2Auto65.5

27.8Teleop140.7

-9.6Endgame56.2

102Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	93
teleop	13	238
endgame	19	85
foul	0	0
total	55	416

Result

Final score

55 – 416

Prediction correct · off by 78.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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