Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

238.54 – 75.16

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

272 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.7 ±9.3

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 39.27Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 73.46Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 125.81Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 203.2 ±11.7

423Simple Machines

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 28.7Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10997St. George

Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 6.44Rank 33Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1168Malvern Robotics

Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 40.02Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6921, 708, 2607

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6921, 708, 2607

Auto

37.7 16%

Teleop

135.9 58%

Endgame

60.6 26%

Strengths

· 2607 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 423, 10997, 1168

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 423, 10997, 1168

Auto

20.5 27%

Teleop

36.8 49%

Endgame

17.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score238.5pts

Blue projected score75.2pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 163.4
Score range: 50–264
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 138.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.7Season APEX203.2

37.7Auto20.5

135.9Teleop36.8

60.6Endgame17.9

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	16
teleop	170	31
endgame	51	22
foul	5	0
total	272	69

Result

Final score

272 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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