Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
116.8 – 95.62
57%43%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
205 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 57.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 413.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 20.27Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 128.7Event APEX -7.64Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 104.17Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175 ±12.2
Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 38.55Rank 32Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 18.88Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 32Event APEX 38.19Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1168, 75, 2607
63
/ 100 compatProjected
116.8 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1168, 75, 2607
Auto
32.4 30%
Teleop
56.2 52%
Endgame
19.7 18%
Strengths
- · 2607 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10918, 6226, 2559
57
/ 100 compatProjected
95.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10918, 6226, 2559
Auto
26.8 29%
Teleop
44.9 48%
Endgame
20.9 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score116.8pts
Blue projected score95.6pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 21.2
- Score range
- 75–138
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
413.1Season APEX175
32.4Auto26.8
56.2Teleop44.9
19.7Endgame20.9
3Consistency20
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 16 |
| teleop | 128 | 10 |
| endgame | 29 | 42 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 205 | 68 |
Result
Final score
205 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 57.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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