Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

98.32 – 76.73

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

85 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.7 ±11.7

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 19.77Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 71.45Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

203SOUPERBOTS

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 7.1Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207.7 ±11

9416International Θperatives of World Affairs

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX -15.97Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10157Roman Robotics

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 58.03Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5407Wolfpack Robotics

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 34.67Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6921, 10070, 203

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6921, 10070, 203

Auto

25.2 26%

Teleop

52.4 55%

Endgame

17.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9416, 10157, 5407

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9416, 10157, 5407

Auto

11.1 14%

Teleop

48.9 61%

Endgame

19.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.3pts

Blue projected score76.7pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21.6
Score range: 56–119
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 116.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.7Season APEX207.7

25.2Auto11.1

52.4Teleop48.9

17.7Endgame19.7

51Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	7
teleop	42	50
endgame	16	19
foul	0	0
total	85	76

Result

Final score

85 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.