Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
52.59 – 82.11
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
128 – 25
Prediction missed · off by 66.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 378.5 ±9.8
Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 36.48Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 15.68Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 0.43Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155.6 ±13.3
Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 36.18Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 28.04Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 28.9Event APEX 17.89Rank 33Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3314, 423, 6808
36
/ 100 compatProjected
52.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 3314, 423, 6808
Auto
-0.9 0%
Teleop
25.8 48%
Endgame
28.6 53%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 102, 6226, 10997
61
/ 100 compatProjected
82.1 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 102, 6226, 10997
Auto
20.7 25%
Teleop
42.2 50%
Endgame
21.3 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score52.6pts
Blue projected score82.1pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -29.5
- Score range
- 32–103
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
378.5Season APEX155.6
-0.9Auto20.7
25.8Teleop42.2
28.6Endgame21.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 14 |
| teleop | 60 | 10 |
| endgame | 41 | 1 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 128 | 25 |
Result
Final score
128 – 25
Prediction missed · off by 66.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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