Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
77.25 – 154.64
28%72%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
73 – 123
Prediction correct · off by 17.9 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.4 ±13.3
Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 38.21Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 28.11Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 10.93Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 90.87Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 241.1Event APEX 54.26Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 9.51Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 102, 10989, 203
55
/ 100 compatProjected
77.3 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 102, 10989, 203
Auto
13.6 17%
Teleop
40.1 51%
Endgame
25.7 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2607, 3314, 10949
78
/ 100 compatProjected
154.6 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2607, 3314, 10949
Auto
13.5 8%
Teleop
99.3 62%
Endgame
47.3 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score77.3pts
Blue projected score154.6pts
Red win probability28%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -77.4
- Score range
- 56–176
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
167.4Season APEX510.1
13.6Auto13.5
40.1Teleop99.3
25.7Endgame47.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 4 |
| teleop | 43 | 54 |
| endgame | 14 | 65 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 73 | 123 |
Result
Final score
73 – 123
Prediction correct · off by 17.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.