Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

371.21 – 238.45

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

249 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 76.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.9 ±9.3

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 224.16Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 13.13Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 133.92Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 463 ±9.9

10600Two Steps Ahead

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 14.97Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 127.17Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 96.31Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 341, 10949, 2607

/ 100 compat

Projected

371.2 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 341, 10949, 2607

Auto

71.6 20%

Teleop

213.0 58%

Endgame

81.5 22%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10600, 272, 5181

/ 100 compat

Projected

238.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10600, 272, 5181

Auto

40.0 17%

Teleop

126.2 53%

Endgame

72.2 30%

Strengths

· 272 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score371.2pts

Blue projected score238.5pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 132.8
Score range: 213–396
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 457 vs event baseline 136.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

547.9Season APEX463

71.6Auto40

213Teleop126.2

81.5Endgame72.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	28
teleop	52	99
endgame	123	81
foul	30	0
total	249	208

Result

Final score

249 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 76.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.