Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

229.34 – 121.01

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

208 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 387.9 ±9.8

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 37.1Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 63.19Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 129.05Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.1 ±10.4

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 19.17Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9014Vulcan Mechanics

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 58.38Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 43.46Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6808, 6921, 1218

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 6921, 1218

Auto

44.3 20%

Teleop

123.2 55%

Endgame

55.5 25%

Strengths

· 1218 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10949, 9014, 365

/ 100 compat

Projected

121 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10949, 9014, 365

Auto

16.5 14%

Teleop

61.9 51%

Endgame

43.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score229.3pts

Blue projected score121pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.3
Score range: 98–252
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 128.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

387.9Season APEX245.1

44.3Auto16.5

123.2Teleop61.9

55.5Endgame43.1

6Consistency104

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	14
teleop	88	44
endgame	60	25
foul	0	15
total	208	98

Result

Final score

208 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 pts

Match videos

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