Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.35 – 91.38

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 11.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 296.5 ±11.7

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 14.61Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

714Panthera

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 25.11Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5789The Other Owls

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 51.63Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 249.7 ±9.8

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 36.48Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1279Cold Fusion

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 22.03Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 32.87Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10979, 714, 5789

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10979, 714, 5789

Auto

21.1 24%

Teleop

46.2 52%

Endgame

21.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 501, 1279, 321

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 501, 1279, 321

Auto

28.1 32%

Teleop

38.3 43%

Endgame

22.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91.4pts

Blue projected score91.4pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 68–114
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 127.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

296.5Season APEX249.7

21.1Auto28.1

46.2Teleop38.3

21.9Endgame22.8

63Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	24
teleop	34	48
endgame	16	20
foul	0	0
total	69	92

Result

Final score

69 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 11.5 pts

Match videos

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