Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

223.63 – 87.45

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

259 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 387.9 ±9.8

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 35.2Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 61.77Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 126.66Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 296.5 ±11.7

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 13.75Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

714Panthera

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 23.69Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5789The Other Owls

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 50.01Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6808, 6921, 1218

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.6 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 6921, 1218

Auto

42.5 19%

Teleop

116.0 52%

Endgame

64.5 29%

Strengths

· 1218 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10979, 714, 5789

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10979, 714, 5789

Auto

20.5 24%

Teleop

40.6 48%

Endgame

23.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score223.6pts

Blue projected score87.4pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 136.2
Score range: 64–247
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 127.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

387.9Season APEX296.5

42.5Auto20.5

116Teleop40.6

64.5Endgame23.2

3Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	23
teleop	156	68
endgame	20	14
foul	30	0
total	259	105

Result

Final score

259 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts

Match videos

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