Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

206.3 – 132.52

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 387.9 ±9.8

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 29.04Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 55.72Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 121.54Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.4 ±11.1

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 59.47Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10143Northeast Vikings

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 46.79Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8630CAP ROBOTICS

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 26.26Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6808, 6921, 1218

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 6921, 1218

Auto

43.2 21%

Teleop

105.1 52%

Endgame

52.8 26%

Strengths

· 1218 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 708, 10143, 8630

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 708, 10143, 8630

Auto

27.9 22%

Teleop

61.9 50%

Endgame

34.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score206.3pts

Blue projected score132.5pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.8
Score range: 110–229
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 128.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

387.9Season APEX226.4

43.2Auto27.9

105.1Teleop61.9

52.8Endgame34.8

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	38
teleop	122	80
endgame	44	25
foul	0	0
total	222	143

Result

Final score

222 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Match videos

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