Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
71.72 – 55.44
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
51 – 120
Prediction missed · off by 42.6 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 30.29Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 10.86Rank 31Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 30.57Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.3 ±9.8
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX -4.24Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 30.57Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 29.11Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10979, 203, 6921
52
/ 100 compatProjected
71.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10979, 203, 6921
Auto
13.7 20%
Teleop
39.4 58%
Endgame
14.3 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 321, 501, 10949
44
/ 100 compatProjected
55.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 321, 501, 10949
Auto
8.7 18%
Teleop
20.2 43%
Endgame
18.4 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.34
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score71.7pts
Blue projected score55.4pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 16.3
- Score range
- 33–94
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
336.3Season APEX264.3
13.7Auto8.7
39.4Teleop20.2
14.3Endgame18.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 11 |
| teleop | 27 | 46 |
| endgame | 5 | 48 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 51 | 120 |
Result
Final score
51 – 120
Prediction missed · off by 42.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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