Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

240.88 – 74.07

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

300 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 327.3 ±10.5

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 185.01Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2720Red Watch Robotics

Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 31.87Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 24Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 107 ±13.3

204Eastern Robotic Vikings

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 27.25Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2180Zero Gravity

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 20.49Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8630CAP ROBOTICS

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 26.33Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1391, 2720, 6808

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1391, 2720, 6808

Auto

55.2 23%

Teleop

142.2 59%

Endgame

43.7 18%

Strengths

· 1391 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 204, 2180, 8630

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 204, 2180, 8630

Auto

23.0 33%

Teleop

23.0 33%

Endgame

24.6 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score240.9pts

Blue projected score74.1pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 166.8
Score range: 50–265
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 344 vs event baseline 133.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

327.3Season APEX107

55.2Auto23

142.2Teleop23

43.7Endgame24.6

14Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	20
teleop	192	4
endgame	63	20
foul	0	0
total	300	44

Result

Final score

300 – 44

Prediction correct · off by 44.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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