Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FMA District Philadelphia Event

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.47 – 85.37

73%27%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

241 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 420 ±9.3
321RoboLancers
C
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 38.78Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1218SCH Robotics
A
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 117.87Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4638Jagbots
D
Season APEX 53Event APEX 8.82Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.1 ±11
501The PowerKnights
D
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 42.96Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8630CAP ROBOTICS
D
Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 19.92Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
1279Cold Fusion
D
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 22.49Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 321, 1218, 4638
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
165.5 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 321, 1218, 4638
Auto
40.7 25%
Teleop
83.0 50%
Endgame
41.2 25%
Strengths
  • · 1218 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 501, 8630, 1279
51
/ 100 compat
Projected
85.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 501, 8630, 1279
Auto
20.4 25%
Teleop
37.8 47%
Endgame
22.3 28%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score165.5pts
Blue projected score85.4pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
80.1
Score range
63–187
Upset likelihood
27%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 123.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

420Season APEX166.1
40.7Auto20.4
83Teleop37.8
41.2Endgame22.3
49Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto7532
teleop12751
endgame3924
foul05
total241112

Result

Final score

241 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 51.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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