Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

104.13 – 204.64

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

130 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 57.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.6 ±12.8

714Panthera

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 25.71Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

204Eastern Robotic Vikings

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 26.39Rank 30Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5789The Other Owls

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 52.03Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.1 ±12.4

10989Blast Robotics

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 23.6Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

816Anomaly

Season APEX 33Event APEX 11.98Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 169.06Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 714, 204, 5789

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 714, 204, 5789

Auto

31.7 32%

Teleop

42.0 43%

Endgame

24.8 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10989, 816, 1391

/ 100 compat

Projected

204.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10989, 816, 1391

Auto

43.6 21%

Teleop

120.7 59%

Endgame

40.3 20%

Strengths

· 1391 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score104.1pts

Blue projected score204.6pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -100.5
Score range: 82–227
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 423 vs event baseline 121.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.6Season APEX329.1

31.7Auto43.6

42Teleop120.7

24.8Endgame40.3

45Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	50
teleop	54	192
endgame	51	51
foul	0	0
total	130	293

Result

Final score

130 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 57.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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