Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.2 – 39.71

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

133 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 462.8 ±10.5

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 116.71Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10600Two Steps Ahead

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 3.92Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 13.57Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157.1 ±12.8

2180Zero Gravity

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 9.31Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2016Mighty Monkey Wrenches

Season APEX 83.7Event APEX 30.61Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

203SOUPERBOTS

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX -0.21Rank 31Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9094, 10600, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9094, 10600, 10979

Auto

32.6 25%

Teleop

75.4 57%

Endgame

24.3 18%

Strengths

· 9094 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2180, 2016, 203

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2180, 2016, 203

Auto

20.5 49%

Teleop

9.3 22%

Endgame

12.4 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134.2pts

Blue projected score39.7pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.5
Score range: 18–156
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 121.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

462.8Season APEX157.1

32.6Auto20.5

75.4Teleop9.3

24.3Endgame12.4

22Consistency167

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	14
teleop	107	58
endgame	5	33
foul	5	0
total	133	105

Result

Final score

133 – 105

Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.