Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

112.07 – 114.05

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 201.2 ±10.4

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 48.06Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

423Simple Machines

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 39.86Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 24.15Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.1 ±10.5

4575Gemini

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 23.2Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10143Northeast Vikings

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 48.88Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10918Bluesteel Dragons

Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 41.97Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6808, 423, 10949

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 423, 10949

Auto

24.1 22%

Teleop

60.6 56%

Endgame

24.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4575, 10143, 10918

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4575, 10143, 10918

Auto

34.9 31%

Teleop

48.0 42%

Endgame

30.2 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.1pts

Blue projected score114.1pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2
Score range: 90–136
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 140 vs event baseline 122.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

201.2Season APEX227.1

24.1Auto34.9

60.6Teleop48

24.2Endgame30.2

35Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	26
teleop	27	21
endgame	2	20
foul	0	30
total	43	97

Result

Final score

43 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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