Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.83 – 117.36

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 96.5 ±12.2

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 44.06Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10600Two Steps Ahead

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 3.91Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2180Zero Gravity

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 8.86Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.4 ±9.8

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 40.51Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10918Bluesteel Dragons

Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 46.15Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1279Cold Fusion

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 30.7Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6808, 10600, 2180

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 10600, 2180

Auto

13.7 25%

Teleop

15.4 28%

Endgame

26.8 48%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 321, 10918, 1279

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 321, 10918, 1279

Auto

25.6 22%

Teleop

46.3 39%

Endgame

46.4 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.99 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.8pts

Blue projected score117.4pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -60.5
Score range: 35–139
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 122.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

96.5Season APEX267.4

13.7Auto25.6

15.4Teleop46.3

26.8Endgame46.4

79Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	56
teleop	0	8
endgame	4	21
foul	5	0
total	43	85

Result

Final score

43 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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