Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
22.95 – 95.67
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
58 – 38
Prediction missed · off by 46.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 113.8 ±13.3
Season APEX 26.6Event APEX -7.85Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 23.16Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.5Event APEX 7.64Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.5 ±10.7
Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 59.16Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 29.01Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 7.5Rank 31Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10600, 714, 10170
12
/ 100 compatProjected
23 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 10600, 714, 10170
Auto
6.0 31%
Teleop
-0.7 0%
Endgame
14.2 73%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 708, 4575, 203
49
/ 100 compatProjected
95.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 708, 4575, 203
Auto
35.8 38%
Teleop
42.0 44%
Endgame
17.1 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score23pts
Blue projected score95.7pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -72.7
- Score range
- -1–120
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
113.8Season APEX252.5
6Auto35.8
-0.7Teleop42
14.2Endgame17.1
106Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 5 | 15 |
| teleop | 25 | 17 |
| endgame | 28 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 58 | 38 |
Result
Final score
58 – 38
Prediction missed · off by 46.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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