Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

213.09 – 183.58

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

227 – 286

Prediction missed · off by 58.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 364.1 ±9.8

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 117.66Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10918Bluesteel Dragons

Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 55.11Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 40.32Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 488.5 ±9.3

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 52.08Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 46.21Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 85.29Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1218, 10918, 6808

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1218, 10918, 6808

Auto

42.2 19%

Teleop

118.4 55%

Endgame

55.9 26%

Strengths

· 1218 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6921, 708, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6921, 708, 9094

Auto

46.0 25%

Teleop

87.2 47%

Endgame

50.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score213.1pts

Blue projected score183.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.5
Score range: 163–234
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 513 vs event baseline 117.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

364.1Season APEX488.5

42.2Auto46

118.4Teleop87.2

55.9Endgame50.7

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	47
teleop	86	152
endgame	87	77
foul	5	10
total	227	286

Result

Final score

227 – 286

Prediction missed · off by 58.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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