Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

194.34 – 58.53

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

258 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 50.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 474.1 ±9.8

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 161.94Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1279Cold Fusion

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 33.27Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX -0.87Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 221.5 ±11.2

10949Metalheads

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 13.08Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 44.13Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10170ND Robotics

Season APEX 35.5Event APEX 1.32Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1391, 1279, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1391, 1279, 10979

Auto

31.9 16%

Teleop

120.9 62%

Endgame

41.3 21%

Strengths

· 1391 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10949, 708, 10170

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10949, 708, 10170

Auto

9.9 19%

Teleop

26.7 51%

Endgame

15.5 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score194.3pts

Blue projected score58.5pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 135.8
Score range: 38–215
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 116.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

474.1Season APEX221.5

31.9Auto9.9

120.9Teleop26.7

41.3Endgame15.5

93Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	30
teleop	137	24
endgame	69	26
foul	0	15
total	258	95

Result

Final score

258 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 50.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.