Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.57 – 17.01

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 251.7 ±11.7

365Miracle Workerz

Season APEX 113.8Event APEX 73.65Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10989Blast Robotics

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 3.6Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10918Bluesteel Dragons

Season APEX 86.5Event APEX 55.32Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 120.5 ±12.7

10600Two Steps Ahead

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 10Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

203SOUPERBOTS

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX -1.28Rank 31Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8630CAP ROBOTICS

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 8.29Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 365, 10989, 10918

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 365, 10989, 10918

Auto

18.9 14%

Teleop

58.6 42%

Endgame

62.3 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10600, 203, 8630

/ 100 compat

Projected

17 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10600, 203, 8630

Auto

4.1 22%

Teleop

-6.7 0%

Endgame

21.0 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.6pts

Blue projected score17pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.6
Score range: -4–154
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 118.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

251.7Season APEX120.5

18.9Auto4.1

58.6Teleop-6.7

62.3Endgame21

96Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	12
teleop	60	9
endgame	39	14
foul	0	15
total	128	50

Result

Final score

128 – 50

Prediction correct · off by 18.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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