Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.27 – 62.79

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

260 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 403.1 ±10.5

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 24.6Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8630CAP ROBOTICS

Season APEX 48.1Event APEX -6.74Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 146.41Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 151.1 ±12.2

1279Cold Fusion

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 37.17Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10143Northeast Vikings

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 23.5Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

203SOUPERBOTS

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 2.12Rank 31Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6921, 8630, 1391

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6921, 8630, 1391

Auto

23.4 15%

Teleop

107.5 68%

Endgame

27.7 17%

Strengths

· 1391 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1279, 10143, 203

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1279, 10143, 203

Auto

16.3 25%

Teleop

47.5 73%

Endgame

1.1 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.11 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.3pts

Blue projected score62.8pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.5
Score range: 41–186
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 315 vs event baseline 119.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

403.1Season APEX151.1

23.4Auto16.3

107.5Teleop47.5

27.7Endgame1.1

48Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	25
teleop	111	20
endgame	99	10
foul	0	0
total	260	55

Result

Final score

260 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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