Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
145.83 – 75.37
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
78 – 96
Prediction missed · off by 44.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.4 ±11.7
Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 77.5Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.5Event APEX 27.74Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 40.59Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147 ±11.7
Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 16.15Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 53Event APEX 3.66Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 55.56Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5789, 10170, 6921
74
/ 100 compatProjected
145.8 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5789, 10170, 6921
Auto
37.1 26%
Teleop
69.6 48%
Endgame
37.8 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 714, 4638, 6808
37
/ 100 compatProjected
75.4 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 714, 4638, 6808
Auto
19.9 26%
Teleop
59.7 78%
Endgame
-3.0 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score145.8pts
Blue projected score75.4pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 70.5
- Score range
- 54–167
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
210.4Season APEX147
37.1Auto19.9
69.6Teleop59.7
37.8Endgame-3
59Consistency80
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 38 |
| teleop | 26 | 27 |
| endgame | 38 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 78 | 96 |
Result
Final score
78 – 96
Prediction missed · off by 44.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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