Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
65.3 – 50.69
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
78 – 101
Prediction missed · off by 31.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 199 ±11.2
Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 30.22Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 31.89Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 3.19Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 304.2 ±11
Season APEX 40.3Event APEX 43.53Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 8.28Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.7Event APEX -1.12Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 708, 1279, 2180
45
/ 100 compatProjected
65.3 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 708, 1279, 2180
Auto
3.0 4%
Teleop
40.8 57%
Endgame
27.4 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2720, 10979, 2016
27
/ 100 compatProjected
50.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2720, 10979, 2016
Auto
-1.8 0%
Teleop
38.4 83%
Endgame
9.9 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score65.3pts
Blue projected score50.7pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 14.6
- Score range
- 31–85
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
199Season APEX304.2
3Auto-1.8
40.8Teleop38.4
27.4Endgame9.9
46Consistency50
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 24 |
| teleop | 29 | 51 |
| endgame | 26 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 78 | 101 |
Result
Final score
78 – 101
Prediction missed · off by 31.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.