Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

75.43125.41

35%65%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

23102

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 53Event APEX 21.6Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 0.87Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 52.96Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 51.4Event APEX -8.2Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 78.13Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 55.48Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4638, 10600, 10143
57
/ 100 compat
Projected
75.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4638, 10600, 10143
Auto
14.2 20%
Teleop
36.3 52%
Endgame
19.7 28%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10989, 6808, 501
70
/ 100 compat
Projected
125.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10989, 6808, 501
Auto
14.0 11%
Teleop
72.0 58%
Endgame
39.1 31%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75.4pts
Blue projected score125.4pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-50
Score range
55145
Upset likelihood
35%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 125 vs event baseline 113.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135.7Season APEX162.5
14.2Auto14
36.3Teleop72
19.7Endgame39.1
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1029
teleop951
endgame422
foul00
total23102

Result

Final score

23102

Prediction correct · off by 37.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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