Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
75.43 – 125.41
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
23 – 102
Prediction correct · off by 37.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 53Event APEX 21.6Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 0.87Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 52.96Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 51.4Event APEX -8.2Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 78.13Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 55.48Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4638, 10600, 10143
57
/ 100 compatProjected
75.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4638, 10600, 10143
Auto
14.2 20%
Teleop
36.3 52%
Endgame
19.7 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10989, 6808, 501
70
/ 100 compatProjected
125.4 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10989, 6808, 501
Auto
14.0 11%
Teleop
72.0 58%
Endgame
39.1 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.75
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75.4pts
Blue projected score125.4pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -50
- Score range
- 55–145
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
135.7Season APEX162.5
14.2Auto14
36.3Teleop72
19.7Endgame39.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 29 |
| teleop | 9 | 51 |
| endgame | 4 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 23 | 102 |
Result
Final score
23 – 102
Prediction correct · off by 37.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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