Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

346.14 – 198.94

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

484 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 102.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 553.7 ±9.3

4638Jagbots

Season APEX 53Event APEX 33.05Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 179.9Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 133.19Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.9 ±9.8

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 26.54Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 119.03Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 53.37Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4638, 1391, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

346.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4638, 1391, 9094

Auto

75.9 22%

Teleop

206.1 60%

Endgame

63.5 18%

Strengths

· 1391 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6808, 1218, 6921

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 1218, 6921

Auto

43.0 22%

Teleop

102.9 53%

Endgame

49.0 25%

Strengths

· 1218 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score346.1pts

Blue projected score198.9pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 147.2
Score range: 175–370
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 615 vs event baseline 131.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

553.7Season APEX387.9

75.9Auto43

206.1Teleop102.9

63.5Endgame49

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	78	36
teleop	302	61
endgame	99	34
foul	5	0
total	484	131

Result

Final score

484 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 102.9 pts

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