Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

331.14 – 208.16

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

451 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 99 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 553.7 ±9.3

4638Jagbots

Season APEX 53Event APEX 28.22Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1391The Metal Moose

Season APEX 244.7Event APEX 174.84Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 128.08Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.9 ±9.8

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 29.71Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 122.17Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6921Technados

Season APEX 110.3Event APEX 56.28Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4638, 1391, 9094

/ 100 compat

Projected

331.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4638, 1391, 9094

Auto

74.5 23%

Teleop

198.0 60%

Endgame

57.9 18%

Strengths

· 1391 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6808, 1218, 6921

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 1218, 6921

Auto

44.7 22%

Teleop

107.1 53%

Endgame

51.8 25%

Strengths

· 1218 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score331.1pts

Blue projected score208.2pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123
Score range: 185–354
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 581 vs event baseline 129.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

553.7Season APEX387.9

74.5Auto44.7

198Teleop107.1

57.9Endgame51.8

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	29
teleop	263	72
endgame	103	29
foul	0	0
total	451	130

Result

Final score

451 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 99 pts

Match videos

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