Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

345.2 – 298.49

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

466 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 539.2 ±9.3

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 40.69Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 21.1Rank 14Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 283.41Rank 1Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 688.8 ±9.3

449The Blair Robot Project

A+

Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 147.3Rank 15Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

122NASA Knights

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 44.9Rank 13Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 106.29Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 321, 427, 316

/ 100 compat

Projected

345.2 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 321, 427, 316

Auto

72.1 21%

Teleop

178.3 52%

Endgame

91.6 27%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 449, 122, 1218

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.5 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 449, 122, 1218

Auto

77.6 26%

Teleop

168.0 56%

Endgame

53.7 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.49 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score345.2pts

Blue projected score298.5pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample54alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 86%, blue 89%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 46.7
Score range: 243–400
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 718 vs event baseline 303.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

539.2Season APEX688.8

72.1Auto77.6

178.3Teleop168

91.6Endgame53.7

68Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	66
teleop	254	143
endgame	125	43
foul	0	0
total	466	252

Result

Final score

466 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree