Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

592.31 – 226.33

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

319 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 205.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 622.5 ±10.7

316LUNATECS

A+

Season APEX 329.3Event APEX 359.79Rank 1Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

714Panthera

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 166.29Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 66.23Rank 12Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528 ±9.3

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 53.73Rank 19Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 52.06Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 120.54Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 316, 714, 3637

/ 100 compat

Projected

592.3 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 316, 714, 3637

Auto

122.3 21%

Teleop

361.9 62%

Endgame

102.4 17%

Strengths

· 316 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 92%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2377, 321, 2539

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.3 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2377, 321, 2539

Auto

53.1 23%

Teleop

89.5 39%

Endgame

86.5 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 92%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.19 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score592.3pts

Blue projected score226.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample54alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 92%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 366
Score range: 171–647
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 408 vs event baseline 306.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

622.5Season APEX528

122.3Auto53.1

361.9Teleop89.5

102.4Endgame86.5

101Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	119	27
teleop	127	33
endgame	68	24
foul	5	5
total	319	89

Result

Final score

319 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 205.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree