Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.9 – 505.29

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

201 – 508

Prediction correct · off by 48.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.3 ±40.8

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -19.58Rank 16Record 3-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

449The Blair Robot Project

A+

Season APEX 294.9Event APEX 116.97Rank 15Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9015Questionable Engineering

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 9.51Rank 18Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 890.4 ±8.7

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 208.69Rank 4Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 223.35Rank 5Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 73.25Rank 11Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9994, 449, 9015

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.9 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9994, 449, 9015

Auto

51.6 49%

Teleop

47.5 45%

Endgame

7.0 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 341, 5000, 484

/ 100 compat

Projected

505.3 pts

~3.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 341, 5000, 484

Auto

111.0 22%

Teleop

263.1 53%

Endgame

126.7 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.11 · Blue 3.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score106.9pts

Blue projected score505.3pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample54alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 81%, blue 89%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 44%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -398.4
Score range: 52–560
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 709 vs event baseline 303.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.3Season APEX890.4

51.6Auto111

47.5Teleop263.1

7Endgame126.7

63Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	84
teleop	112	279
endgame	38	140
foul	5	5
total	201	508

Result

Final score

201 – 508

Prediction correct · off by 48.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree