Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

527.97 – 195.27

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

488 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 75.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 654.9 ±10.7

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 125.93Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 225.49Rank 2Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

714Panthera

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 176.55Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 607.7 ±9.3

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 92.32Rank 6Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 105.03Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX -2.08Rank 20Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 6328, 714

/ 100 compat

Projected

528 pts

~3.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2539, 6328, 714

Auto

135.3 26%

Teleop

269.7 52%

Endgame

115.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 90%

Supercharged: 39%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5181, 1218, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.3 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5181, 1218, 10979

Auto

50.1 26%

Teleop

107.7 56%

Endgame

33.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 90%

Supercharged: 39%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.27 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score528pts

Blue projected score195.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample54alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 90%, blue 81%

Supercharged bonusred 39%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 332.7
Score range: 140–583
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 573 vs event baseline 304.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

654.9Season APEX607.7

135.3Auto50.1

269.7Teleop107.7

115.8Endgame33.4

49Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	119	47
teleop	246	13
endgame	118	20
foul	5	5
total	488	85

Result

Final score

488 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 75.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree