Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.23 – 193.02

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.8 ±40.8

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -5.86Rank 16Record 3-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 65.99Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 21.1Rank 14Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 723.4 ±8.7

484Roboforce

Season APEX 289.7Event APEX 78.85Rank 11Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5181Explorer Robotics

Season APEX 192.2Event APEX 73.86Rank 6Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 40.31Rank 12Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9994, 2539, 427

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.2 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9994, 2539, 427

Auto

37.1 49%

Teleop

29.1 38%

Endgame

9.6 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 484, 5181, 3637

/ 100 compat

Projected

193 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 484, 5181, 3637

Auto

70.1 37%

Teleop

93.5 50%

Endgame

24.6 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.44 · Blue 2.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score81.2pts

Blue projected score193pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample54alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 79%, blue 84%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.8
Score range: 26–248
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 328 vs event baseline 303.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

379.8Season APEX723.4

37.1Auto70.1

29.1Teleop93.5

9.6Endgame24.6

53Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	106
teleop	21	127
endgame	48	3
foul	0	0
total	92	236

Result

Final score

92 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree