Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

210.04 – 290.39

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

220 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 723.3 ±9.3

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 128.05Rank 17Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3637The Daleks

Season APEX 241.5Event APEX 80.16Rank 12Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 1.83Rank 20Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 569.2 ±9.3

122NASA Knights

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 46.16Rank 13Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 196.87Rank 4Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 47.36Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 3637, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

210 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2539, 3637, 10979

Auto

76.4 37%

Teleop

112.5 54%

Endgame

18.8 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 122, 341, 321

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.4 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 122, 341, 321

Auto

99.1 33%

Teleop

118.8 40%

Endgame

78.4 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 79%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.54 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score210pts

Blue projected score290.4pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample54alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 79%, blue 86%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 31%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.3
Score range: 154–346
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 502 vs event baseline 308.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

723.3Season APEX569.2

76.4Auto99.1

112.5Teleop118.8

18.8Endgame78.4

88Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	42
teleop	131	114
endgame	20	126
foul	10	0
total	220	282

Result

Final score

220 – 282

Prediction correct · off by 9.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree