Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

186.13 – 148.27

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 378.6 ±10.5

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 24.08Rank 14Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 127.45Rank 9Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 34.6Rank 8Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 253.3 ±40.9

9994Off-Season Demo Team 9994

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 4.72Rank 16Record 3-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 61.95Rank 19Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

122NASA Knights

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 81.6Rank 13Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 427, 1218, 157

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.1 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 427, 1218, 157

Auto

13.1 7%

Teleop

83.2 44%

Endgame

91.4 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9994, 2377, 122

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.3 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9994, 2377, 122

Auto

42.1 30%

Teleop

61.5 43%

Endgame

38.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 87%

Supercharged: 27%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.39 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score186.1pts

Blue projected score148.3pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample54alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 87%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.9
Score range: 91–243
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 181 vs event baseline 317.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

378.6Season APEX253.3

13.1Auto42.1

83.2Teleop61.5

91.4Endgame38.3

50Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	7
teleop	98	21
endgame	30	11
foul	5	0
total	142	39

Result

Final score

142 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 76.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree