Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

302.09 – 257.66

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

303 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 613.5 ±9.3

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 40.69Rank 10Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 7.83Rank 20Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 253.57Rank 2Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 481.6 ±10.5

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 37.3Rank 8Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 184.93Rank 5Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2377C Company

Season APEX 94.7Event APEX 35.43Rank 19Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 321, 10979, 6328

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.1 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 321, 10979, 6328

Auto

68.6 23%

Teleop

141.7 48%

Endgame

88.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 157, 5000, 2377

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.7 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 157, 5000, 2377

Auto

46.9 18%

Teleop

143.1 56%

Endgame

64.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 81%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.42 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score302.1pts

Blue projected score257.7pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample54alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 81%, blue 83%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 29%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.4
Score range: 203–357
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 511 vs event baseline 303.4.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

613.5Season APEX481.6

68.6Auto46.9

141.7Teleop143.1

88Endgame64

54Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	42
teleop	154	70
endgame	80	96
foul	0	0
total	303	208

Result

Final score

303 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree