Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

89.75 – 78.03

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

88 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 230.8 ±9.9

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 16.09Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4575Gemini

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 54.55Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

708Hatters Robotics

Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 19.11Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±11

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 28.29Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 19.57Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10400DART Doane Academy Robotics Team

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 30.17Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5684, 4575, 708

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5684, 4575, 708

Auto

19.7 24%

Teleop

35.0 43%

Endgame

27.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10070, 6808, 10400

/ 100 compat

Projected

78 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10070, 6808, 10400

Auto

21.6 31%

Teleop

29.0 41%

Endgame

19.8 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89.8pts

Blue projected score78pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.7
Score range: 60–108
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 99.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

230.8Season APEX180.2

19.7Auto21.6

35Teleop29

27.4Endgame19.8

63Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	27
teleop	31	24
endgame	22	10
foul	20	5
total	88	66

Result

Final score

88 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 pts

Match videos

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