Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
247.95 – 88.46
88%12%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
241 – 104
Prediction correct · off by 11.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 535.6 ±9.3
Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 92.87Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX -5.64Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 160.72Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 15.81Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 54.09Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 18.56Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2607, 7110, 341
80
/ 100 compatProjected
248 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2607, 7110, 341
Auto
50.4 21%
Teleop
146.4 60%
Endgame
45.5 19%
Strengths
- · 341 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5684, 4575, 708
58
/ 100 compatProjected
88.5 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5684, 4575, 708
Auto
20.0 25%
Teleop
33.2 42%
Endgame
26.2 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.49
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score248pts
Blue projected score88.5pts
Red win probability88%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 20%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 159.5
- Score range
- 71–265
- Upset likelihood
- 12%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
535.6Season APEX230.8
50.4Auto20
146.4Teleop33.2
45.5Endgame26.2
0Consistency56
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 20 |
| teleop | 101 | 46 |
| endgame | 54 | 38 |
| foul | 25 | 0 |
| total | 241 | 104 |
Result
Final score
241 – 104
Prediction correct · off by 11.2 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.