Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

78.58 – 75.57

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 12.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.9 ±11.6

1626Falcon Robotics

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 15.61Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 27.83Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 35.14Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±11

10070Ghost Bots

Season APEX 102.6Event APEX 27.52Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 18.8Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10400DART Doane Academy Robotics Team

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 29.25Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1626, 2559, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1626, 2559, 10979

Auto

15.3 21%

Teleop

36.9 50%

Endgame

21.8 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10070, 6808, 10400

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10070, 6808, 10400

Auto

21.0 30%

Teleop

31.0 45%

Endgame

17.3 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78.6pts

Blue projected score75.6pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3
Score range: 59–96
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 179 vs event baseline 96.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.9Season APEX180.2

15.3Auto21

36.9Teleop31

21.8Endgame17.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	27
teleop	37	19
endgame	18	36
foul	0	15
total	82	97

Result

Final score

82 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 12.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.