Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

194.74 – 79.73

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

236 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 21.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 624 ±9.3

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 84.29Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 81.84Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 28.61Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.9 ±11.6

1626Falcon Robotics

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 15.94Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 28.11Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 35.68Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 272, 427

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.7 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2539, 272, 427

Auto

19.6 10%

Teleop

120.3 64%

Endgame

48.4 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1626, 2559, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1626, 2559, 10979

Auto

14.8 19%

Teleop

39.6 52%

Endgame

22.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score194.7pts

Blue projected score79.7pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115
Score range: 63–212
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 94.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

624Season APEX265.9

19.6Auto14.8

120.3Teleop39.6

48.4Endgame22

10Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	19
teleop	137	29
endgame	41	23
foul	30	10
total	236	81

Result

Final score

236 – 81

Prediction correct · off by 21.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.