Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61.63 – 60.69

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

13 – 92

Prediction missed · off by 40 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 241.8 ±11.9

2095Direct Current

Season APEX 47.5Event APEX 53.71Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5113Combustible Lemons

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 18.33Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX -10.41Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.3 ±12.4

816Anomaly

Season APEX 33Event APEX 3.2Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 53.71Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11366Red Devil's Redemption

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 3.78Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2095, 5113, 321

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2095, 5113, 321

Auto

9.6 16%

Teleop

48.0 80%

Endgame

2.3 4%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 816, 341, 11366

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 816, 341, 11366

Auto

10.5 17%

Teleop

45.5 75%

Endgame

4.7 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.6pts

Blue projected score60.7pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.9
Score range: 48–75
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 105 vs event baseline 72.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

241.8Season APEX342.3

9.6Auto10.5

48Teleop45.5

2.3Endgame4.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	32
teleop	0	52
endgame	8	3
foul	0	5
total	13	92

Result

Final score

13 – 92

Prediction missed · off by 40 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.