Qualification · Qualification 64
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
8.57 – 61.19
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
66 – 69
Prediction correct · off by 32.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.5 ±13.5
Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 12.3Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.5Event APEX -0.2Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.5Event APEX -3.53Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 64Event APEX 9.51Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 31.16Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 79.2Event APEX 20.52Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9014, 6226, 2095
4
/ 100 compatProjected
8.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 9014, 6226, 2095
Auto
9.0 100%
Teleop
-3.5 0%
Endgame
1.3 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2458, 10400, 1168
47
/ 100 compatProjected
61.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2458, 10400, 1168
Auto
13.4 22%
Teleop
37.7 61%
Endgame
10.6 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.55
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score8.6pts
Blue projected score61.2pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 19%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -52.6
- Score range
- -8–78
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
171.5Season APEX178.5
9Auto13.4
-3.5Teleop37.7
1.3Endgame10.6
28Consistency60
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 16 |
| teleop | 27 | 23 |
| endgame | 20 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 66 | 69 |
Result
Final score
66 – 69
Prediction correct · off by 32.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.