Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.41 – 101.95

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

334 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 96.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 471.2 ±9.8

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 7.39Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1089Team Mercury

Season APEX 150Event APEX 22.65Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 145.37Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 356.1 ±11.7

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 11.31Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 84.36Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11366Red Devil's Redemption

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 6.28Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6808, 1089, 341

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6808, 1089, 341

Auto

35.9 20%

Teleop

114.4 65%

Endgame

27.0 15%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5684, 2539, 11366

/ 100 compat

Projected

102 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5684, 2539, 11366

Auto

15.1 16%

Teleop

54.1 58%

Endgame

24.7 26%

Strengths

· 2539 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.79 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.4pts

Blue projected score102pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.5
Score range: 86–191
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 470 vs event baseline 91.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

471.2Season APEX356.1

35.9Auto15.1

114.4Teleop54.1

27Endgame24.7

6Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	34
teleop	194	63
endgame	64	39
foul	15	0
total	334	136

Result

Final score

334 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 96.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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