Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

121.93 – 76.22

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

147 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 448.5 ±10.5

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 7.55Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 35.59Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 78.79Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 172.8 ±11

5113Combustible Lemons

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 14.44Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

427LANCE-A-LOT

Season APEX 78.2Event APEX 29.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 32.21Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5684, 10979, 272

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5684, 10979, 272

Auto

21.7 19%

Teleop

73.1 64%

Endgame

19.7 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5113, 427, 2559

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5113, 427, 2559

Auto

11.3 16%

Teleop

34.4 48%

Endgame

26.4 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.9pts

Blue projected score76.2pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 45.7
Score range: 60–138
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 218 vs event baseline 90.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

448.5Season APEX172.8

21.7Auto11.3

73.1Teleop34.4

19.7Endgame26.4

30Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	15
teleop	89	23
endgame	34	13
foul	5	20
total	147	71

Result

Final score

147 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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