Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

73.43 – 30.57

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

80 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 15.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.9 ±11

10584Ridge Robotics

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 41.33Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 31.22Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9027PATH to Domination

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 0.88Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 108 ±12.2

11366Red Devil's Redemption

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX -0.8Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6808William Tennent Robotics

Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 7.91Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10400DART Doane Academy Robotics Team

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 23.46Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10584, 2559, 9027

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10584, 2559, 9027

Auto

16.7 22%

Teleop

32.2 42%

Endgame

28.2 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11366, 6808, 10400

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11366, 6808, 10400

Auto

16.5 68%

Teleop

6.7 28%

Endgame

1.0 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.4pts

Blue projected score30.6pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.9
Score range: 15–89
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 135 vs event baseline 91.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.9Season APEX108

16.7Auto16.5

32.2Teleop6.7

28.2Endgame1

0Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	25
teleop	32	24
endgame	23	6
foul	0	0
total	80	55

Result

Final score

80 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 15.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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