Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.22 – 97.67

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294 ±9.8

9027PATH to Domination

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX -0.91Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

486Positronic Panthers

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 21.85Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

321RoboLancers

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 12.28Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.3 ±12.4

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 24.87Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

272Cyber Crusaders

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 76Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

709Femme Tech Fatale

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX -3.2Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9027, 486, 321

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9027, 486, 321

Auto

18.9 51%

Teleop

5.4 14%

Endgame

13.0 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2559, 272, 709

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2559, 272, 709

Auto

15.9 16%

Teleop

60.8 62%

Endgame

21.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.2pts

Blue projected score97.7pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.4
Score range: 17–114
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 90.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294Season APEX360.3

18.9Auto15.9

5.4Teleop60.8

13Endgame21

6Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	16
teleop	21	67
endgame	6	67
foul	5	0
total	51	150

Result

Final score

51 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 35.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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