Qualification · Qualification 39
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
67.21 – 11.53
67%33%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
76 – 63
Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 392.6 ±11.9
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX -24.79Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 96.9Event APEX 9.44Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 82.56Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.3 ±10.7
Season APEX 30.4Event APEX -0.73Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 0.67Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 11.59Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7110, 2234, 272
52
/ 100 compatProjected
67.2 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7110, 2234, 272
Auto
11.9 19%
Teleop
45.3 71%
Endgame
6.5 10%
Strengths
- · 272 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11366, 321, 708
6
/ 100 compatProjected
11.5 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 11366, 321, 708
Auto
12.6 0%
Teleop
-25.6 100%
Endgame
8.6 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 0.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score67.2pts
Blue projected score11.5pts
Red win probability67%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 24%, blue 20%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 55.7
- Score range
- -4–83
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
392.6Season APEX284.3
11.9Auto12.6
45.3Teleop-25.6
6.5Endgame8.6
123Consistency35
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 12 |
| teleop | 46 | 21 |
| endgame | 12 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 76 | 63 |
Result
Final score
76 – 63
Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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