Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.1 – 236.71

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

94 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 67.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 91.4 ±12.1

10400DART Doane Academy Robotics Team

Season APEX 35.3Event APEX 21.72Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5684Titans of Tech

Season APEX 24.1Event APEX 1.74Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2559Normality Zero

Season APEX 32Event APEX 32.64Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 569.8 ±9.3

2607The Fighting RoboVikings

Season APEX 205.2Event APEX 85.69Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 121.94Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10584Ridge Robotics

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 29.08Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10400, 5684, 2559

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10400, 5684, 2559

Auto

11.1 23%

Teleop

29.6 60%

Endgame

8.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2607, 341, 10584

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2607, 341, 10584

Auto

41.3 17%

Teleop

145.5 60%

Endgame

56.9 23%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.1pts

Blue projected score236.7pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -180.6
Score range: 41–252
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 427 vs event baseline 82.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

91.4Season APEX569.8

11.1Auto41.3

29.6Teleop145.5

8.3Endgame56.9

53Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	71
teleop	57	193
endgame	23	69
foul	0	0
total	94	333

Result

Final score

94 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 67.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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