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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
FMA District Hatboro-Horsham Event

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

77.68 – 47.94

59%41%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

42 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.5 ±9.8
10993EP Robotics
C
Season APEX 92.7Event APEX 19.19Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6808William Tennent Robotics
D
Season APEX 42.3Event APEX 3.23Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4575Gemini
C
Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 55.26Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.7 ±11.9
708Hatters Robotics
C
Season APEX 122.2Event APEX 15.33Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2234Alternating Current
C
Season APEX 96.9Event APEX 8.83Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
5113Combustible Lemons
D
Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 23.78Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10993, 6808, 4575
57
/ 100 compat
Projected
77.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10993, 6808, 4575
Auto
24.8 36%
Teleop
34.6 50%
Endgame
10.1 15%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 22%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 708, 2234, 5113
30
/ 100 compat
Projected
47.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 708, 2234, 5113
Auto
11.7 26%
Teleop
6.2 14%
Endgame
27.7 61%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 22%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score77.7pts
Blue projected score47.9pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample162alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 22%, blue 22%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
29.7
Score range
33–93
Upset likelihood
41%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match

Combined score 82 vs event baseline 83.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.5Season APEX281.7
24.8Auto11.7
34.6Teleop6.2
10.1Endgame27.7
15Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto179
teleop919
endgame1612
foul00
total4240

Result

Final score

42 – 40

Prediction correct · off by 21.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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