Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

42.37 – 150.11

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 266.7 ±14.1

2234Alternating Current

Season APEX 96.9Event APEX 7.13Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10584Ridge Robotics

Season APEX 85.7Event APEX 22.85Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

709Femme Tech Fatale

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 12.39Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 521.7 ±9.8

5113Combustible Lemons

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 5.57Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

341Miss Daisy

Season APEX 278.9Event APEX 103.13Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10979Tiger Robotics

Season APEX 180.2Event APEX 41.41Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2234, 10584, 709

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2234, 10584, 709

Auto

14.2 35%

Teleop

6.1 15%

Endgame

20.5 50%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5113, 341, 10979

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5113, 341, 10979

Auto

31.0 22%

Teleop

78.7 57%

Endgame

28.6 21%

Strengths

· 341 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score42.4pts

Blue projected score150.1pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample162alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.7
Score range: 28–164
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 317 vs event baseline 80.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

266.7Season APEX521.7

14.2Auto31

6.1Teleop78.7

20.5Endgame28.6

32Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	36
teleop	10	188
endgame	25	42
foul	0	0
total	51	266

Result

Final score

51 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.